Millennial Automotive Purchase Intent on the Rise, Despite Ride-Hailing Popularity and Global Climate Concerns, Duff & Phelps Study Reveals

Over 80% (83%) of Asian respondents who own a car expect to buy or lease another in the next five years,compared to 75% globally

92% of respondents in mainland China expect to buy or lease another car in the next five years

Due to public transportation and traffic,62% of respondents in Hong Kong own or lease a car,compared to 89% in mainland China

Millennials,including city dwellers with a myriad of transportation options,highly value having their own car for the independence and convenience

Gas or diesel engines are the globally preferred powertrain of choice (54%),but market share of hybrid and electric vehicles poised to increase,with mainland China accounting for approximately 56% of global EV sales in 2018,according to a Business Wire article.

HONG KONG,Oct. 18,2019 -- The global automotive industry is currently facing serious economic headwinds and declining sales,leaving industry players wondering if millennials -- who currently make up one-third of the world's population -- will drive the industry forward or break from past generations on car ownership. The Millennials and Auto Trends Report released today by Duff & Phelps,the global advisor that protects,restores and maximizes value for clients,shows that concerns that millennials are less interested in car ownership are greatly overstated and rooted in misconceptions about millennial car-buying patterns.

For the report,Duff & Phelps surveyed 2,150 millennials from across the world on car-buying preferences and the factors driving these trends. The report found that the overwhelming majority of millennials (75%) expect to purchase or lease a car within the next five years,indicating that millennials may be responsible for turning around the struggling automotive industry in the coming years. The findings also suggest that factors including environmental concerns,city-dwelling and availability of public transportation and ride-hailing services have not dampened millennial interest in car ownership.

Seventy-five percent of global respondents indicated that they currently own or lease a car and 83% of that group expect to purchase or lease another car in the next five years. More than half (55%) of respondents who do not currently own a car expect to acquire one in the next five years. When extrapolated to the full millennial population,this indicates the potential for a substantial uptick in car purchases in the coming years.

Surprisingly,city dwellers' preferred method of transportation is driving their own car,despite the myriad of public transportation,ride-hailing,biking and walking options. Eighty percent of global city dwellers said that they plan to buy or lease a car in the next five years,while 88% of the city-dwelling respondents who already have a car expect to purchase or lease another one in the next five years.

Despite the common perception of millennials as an environmentally conscious generation,the majority of millennials across the globe (85%) indicated that having a car is a necessity for independence and convenience,and generally preferable to other,more environmentally-conscious options like ride-sharing or public transportation. Additionally,millennials identified price as one of the biggest factors in a car-buying decision over factors like environmental impact,aligning with the preference of 54% of respondents for traditional gas and diesel engines.

Though most are currently considering expense and convenience over environmental concerns,the findings do indicate that millennials could create a significant market share growth opportunity in the coming years for hybrids or all-electric vehicles (EVs),which have a combined global market share of just 4.7%,according to LMC Locomotive. Thirty-six percent of respondents said they find these cars the most appealing,compared to gas or diesel.

David Lu,Managing Director and Head of the Greater China Corporate Finance practice at Duff & Phelps,comments: "Our inaugural Millennials and Auto Trends Report debunks theories that climate change considerations and the growth of ride-hailing apps will have a profound affect on the automotive industry. Specifically,in the Asian market,car-owning millennials surpass global respondents in their expectation to buy or lease another car in the next five years,signaling that the continued desire to drive will remain for the near-term."

About Duff & Phelps

Duff & Phelps is the global advisor that protects,restores and maximizes value for clients in the areas of valuation,corporate finance,investigations,disputes,cyber security,compliance and regulatory matters,and other governance-related issues. We work with clients across diverse sectors,mitigating risk to assets,operations and people. With Kroll,a division of Duff & Phelps since 2018,our firm has nearly 3,500 professionals in 28 countries around the world. For more information,visit www.duffandphelps.com.

M&A advisory,capital raising and secondary market advisory services in the United States are provided by Duff & Phelps Securities,LLC. Member FINRA/SIPC. Pagemill Partners is a Division of Duff & Phelps Securities,LLC. M&A advisory,capital raising and secondary market advisory services in the United Kingdom are provided by Duff & Phelps Securities Ltd. (DPSL),which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. M&A advisory and capital raising services in Germany are provided by Duff & Phelps GmbH,which is a Tied Agent of DPSL. Valuation Advisory Services in India are provided by Duff & Phelps India Private Limited under a category 1 merchant banker license issued by the Securities and Exchange Board of India. 

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